马斯克推文 2023–2026
下一篇乔·罗根 #1169- 来源／形式： 埃隆·马斯克本人在 2023、2024、2025 年以及 2026 年头约 5 个月发布的帖子，也就是紧接 马斯克推文 2021–2022 之后的四年，取自已核实的 GitHub
cmj/elontweets存档，存放在raw/tweets/<year>/。这几年被归为一个时代，因为它们是一条连贯的弧线：2022 年底收购了 Twitter 的这个人，在这段时间里把它作为 𝕏 来经营，创办了 xAI／Grok，把自己“言论自由绝对主义者”的立场变成了一种明确且不断升级的政治身份（支持特朗普、DOGE 政府效率运动，最后是美国党），并把他最老的那些信念，即 AI 风险、火星、意识之光、人口崩溃，推向了最宏大也最私人的极端（卡尔达肖夫等级的能源世界观、先登月的转向、“自杀式共情”论，以及为与他疏远的孩子公开发出的痛苦之声）。这里只用马斯克原创撰写的帖子（x.com/elonmusk/status/…上他自己的状态 ID）；转推，以及引用转发的视频片段或第三方帖子里嵌入的文字，一律排除。如果一条推文只是马斯克引用转发了一段他本人的视频，那么嵌入的文字转写不是他撰写的话，也不引用。 - 时代弧线： 如果说 2021–2022 年是马斯克的立场定型的时期，那么 2023–2026 年就是这些立场变成机构、职位和政党的时期，那些抽象观念也被推到了边缘。七条有日期可考的弧线定义了这段时间。（1）从言论自由的平台主人到政治行动者： 2023 年“审查会反过来对准你”和“原则比钱更重要”（亚历克斯·琼斯一事）的帖子 → 2024 年一再重申“民主的基石” → 2024 年 7 月支持特朗普（“我完全支持特朗普总统”）→“这场选举是对文明的裁决”→ 2025 年与共和党的支出法案决裂（“令人作呕的怪胎”）→ 创立美国党（2025 年 7 月）。（2）总框架越来越清晰：“人文主义者对灭绝主义者”（2023 年 10 月）硬化为“扩张主义者对灭绝主义者”（2024 年），以及“一旦看清……就再也无法视而不见”。（3）政府是一个失灵的垄断者： DOGE 时代的论点：“是官僚制，不是民主制”，“政府是最大的公司……垄断着暴力”，“所有政府支出都是税收”，“促进改进的反馈回路坏掉了”；到 2025 年，他甚至把这套说法延伸到了欧盟。（4）AI： 创办 xAI（“为了理解现实”，2023 年 7 月）、最大限度求真的安全学说、有日期的 AGI／奇点预言（“2026 年是奇点之年”），以及觉醒 AI 导致灭绝的设想。（5）火星与意识：“延续意识之光”以几十种方式反复重申，卡尔达肖夫等级的能源世界观（“太阳是一座巨大的、免费的聚变反应堆”），以及 2026 年先登月的转向。（6）人口崩溃，如今被他列为让他“非常担心”会毁掉文明的事情，并与“自杀式共情”论融为一体。（7）私人的马斯克： 氯胺酮、打电子游戏“让我的头脑安静下来”、PayPal 政变、“我爱美国”，以及关于他儿子泽维尔的那些毫不掩饰的帖子。这里把这些记录下来，作为他影响最深远的一次观点演变的有日期记录，用的都是他自己的话。
- 可信度： 已核实。 每个原始月份文件都是
verified: true的推文存档（collection_method: GitHub cmj/elontweets archive (2010-2025)）。因为一条推文本身就是它自己的引语，每条引语的锚点就是推文永久链接本身，即https://x.com/elonmusk/status/<id>，而不是#:~:text=片段：x.com 由 JavaScript 渲染，文本片段无法定位，而且推文文字就是被引对象的全部。逐字节准确的保证在于：每段引语都是对应月份文件中那条推文文字的逐字连续子串（原始资料末尾的t.co短链接不照录；许多引语去掉了原始资料保留的回复前缀，如@KanekoaTheGreat或@WholeMarsBlog，只引用其后逐字节准确的子串；原始资料里存的是 HTML 实体的地方，例如>10,000，也原样照录）。 - 归属： 每条引语都是马斯克原创撰写的帖子，对应正确的月份文件和正确的状态 ID；没有一条是转推（不引用任何
x.com/null或RT @行），也没有一条是引用转发里嵌入的文字（视频字幕或第三方帖子）。许多候选引语正是因为这条规则被放弃了：如果逐字节准确的文字只出现在嵌入的[@handle]视频转写或第三方帖子里，而马斯克只是配了一句简短的话引用转发（例如“是的”“这就是你知道的方式”“到此为止”），那么嵌入的那句话就不是马斯克撰写的，即使视频里说话的正是马斯克本人，也予以排除。这些推文中很多是回复，引用的是@提及前缀之后逐字节准确的子串；如果一条引语是一篇较长帖子中独立成句的一段，就照录那段确切的连续子串，从不拼接。
概要
这是维基的第五份推文时代来源，也是最密集的一份。因为在这段时间里，马斯克同时处在最活跃也最有影响力的状态：他是平台的主人、一家 AI 实验室的创始人、总统候选人的代言人、政府效率的“沙皇”，还想创立第三党，而这一切他都在这个平台上实时发帖。和以往一样，四年里的绝大部分内容都略去了：发射动态、产品闲聊、回复、新闻链接和事务性内容不含思维材料，不作引用。留下来的，是一份有日期的记录：一个人长期稳定的思维模型（AI 风险、火星、第一性原理、言论自由、人口崩溃）被重申到了最极端的程度，同时他的公共身份完成了转向，从一个离经叛道的技术专家，变成了一个彻头彻尾的政治和意识形态行动者。
稳定的思考者一直在底下运转。火星／意识之光的信条被以几十种形式重申：“把意识延伸到火星，然后到群星”，“我们的鸡蛋没有全放在一个篮子里”，“守护意识之光……没有任何政治或个人目的”。一种新的卡尔达肖夫等级能源世界观把它推到了最宏大的层面：“太阳是天上一座巨大的、免费的聚变反应堆”，“要么人类达到一型文明，要么所有已知的生命都会灭绝”。AI 风险的信念变成了一个机构，即“为了理解现实”而创办的 xAI，也变成了一套学说：“最大限度求真是我对 AI 安全的最佳猜测”。他借 HAL 9000、伽利略和伏尔泰反复重申这一点，同时给出有日期的奇点预言（“2026 年是奇点之年”；“我认为我们会在 2026 年实现 AGI”）。第一性原理的声音不断造出格言：“智能……就是预测未来的能力”，“和执行相比，想法真的无足轻重”，“无能到了极限，就和欺诈无法区分”，还有反复出现的模拟话题（“p（模拟）≈1”）。
但决定性的故事是政治转向的完成。四年间的日期勾勒出一道斜坡：2023 年平台主人捍卫言论自由的帖子（在亚历克斯·琼斯一事上说“原则比钱更重要”）→ 把一切政治重新框定为“人文主义者对灭绝主义者”／“扩张主义者对灭绝主义者”→ 2024 年 7 月支持特朗普，以及“这场选举是对文明的裁决”→ DOGE 时代“政府是失灵的垄断者”的论点（“是官僚制，不是民主制”）→ 2025 年与共和党决裂并创立美国党。贯穿其间的，是走到最绝对的觉醒病毒（“反人类的”“正在杀死西方文明”“像冬虫夏草菌”，以及令人心碎的私人帖子“我的儿子泽维尔死了。他被觉醒病毒杀死了”）、对 DEI 的批判（“DEI 必须死”）、与“自杀式共情”融为一体的人口崩溃警报，以及一套对媒体的不信任论，最后翻转成了一个纲领：“现在你们就是媒体”。这就是这个时代的价值：同样的第一性原理，如今产出了一家 AI 实验室、一个政府机构、一个政党，以及他写过的最私人的帖子。
语气说明： 维基把这些作为马斯克在 2023–2026 年各个时间点表达的观点来报道，不作裁断。其中很多是有日期、可证伪的预测，或极具争议的说法：“2026 年是奇点之年”／“我们会在 2026 年实现 AGI”的预言；火星和登月的时间表；有争议的 DOGE 节省开支的说法；“最后一次选举”“觉醒病毒”“自杀式共情”“大置换”和白人负罪感的提法；关于他那个疏远的孩子的私人说法。它们被记录为他表达过的预测、自信姿态和当时的看法，既不认同也不反驳。它们的用处恰恰在于，是他思想及其演变中有日期可考的数据点。
关键推文（逐字，锚定永久链接；仅埃隆·马斯克）
言论自由：平台主人的学说，从“审查会反过来对准你”到“原则比钱更重要”（2023–2025）
如今平台归他所有，言论自由的信念被表述为经营学说。其中有反复出现的“审查必然会反过来对准使用它的人”的警告，有一再重申的“民主的基石”论点，有“用反驳代替审查”的原则，还有最难的一个案例：出于原则，为恢复亚历克斯·琼斯的账号辩护。
“The censorship tools were created to deal with scams & spam, but then were turned to political purposes. Those who favor censorship should remember that it is only a matter of time before censorship turns on you. There will always be some censorship, but less is better.” ↗
“审查工具本来是为了对付诈骗和垃圾信息而造的，后来却被用于政治目的。支持审查的人应该记住，审查反过来对准你只是时间问题。审查总会有一些，但越少越好。”
“Free speech is the bedrock of democracy. It is a fundamental defense against autocracy & statism” ↗
“言论自由是民主的基石。它是抵御专制和国家主义的根本防线”
“Best way to fight misinformation is to respond with accurate information, not censorship” ↗
“对付错误信息的最好办法，是用准确的信息回应，而不是审查”
“I am adamant about defending free speech, even if it means losing money.” ↗
“我坚决捍卫言论自由，哪怕这意味着赔钱。”
“If we lose freedom of speech, it’s never coming back” ↗
“如果我们失去言论自由，它就再也回不来了”
“Freedom of speech is priceless” ↗
“言论自由是无价的”
“I vehemently disagree with what he said about Sandy Hook, but are we a platform that believes in freedom of speech or are we not? That is what it comes down to in the end. If the people vote him back on, this will be bad for 𝕏 financially, but principles matter more than money.” ↗
“我强烈反对他关于桑迪胡克的言论，但我们到底是不是一个信奉言论自由的平台？归根结底就是这个问题。如果大家投票让他回来，这对 𝕏 的财务不利，但原则比钱更重要。”
“As promised, this platform will fight for your freedom to speak! We expect many such battles in the future. Freedom of speech is the bedrock of democracy. Without it, America ends.” ↗
“正如承诺的那样，这个平台会为你的发言自由而战！我们预计将来还会有很多这样的仗要打。言论自由是民主的基石。没有它，美国就完了。”
“Free speech is the bedrock of democracy. That’s why it’s the FIRST Amendment. Without free speech, all is lost.” ↗
“言论自由是民主的基石。所以它才是‘第一’修正案。没有言论自由，一切都完了。”
“The public still doesn’t understand even a tiny fraction of the power of the censorship government-industrial complex. As predicted, my companies and I came under relentless attack the moment the censorship of this platform was lifted. How far will they go to stop me?” ↗
“公众对审查型政府—产业复合体的力量，连一丁点都还没弄明白。正如预料的那样，这个平台的审查一解除，我和我的公司就遭到了无休止的攻击。为了阻止我，他们会做到什么地步？”
“The first condition of progress is the removal of censorship. - Durant” ↗
“进步的首要条件是取消审查。——杜兰特”
“Free speech is only real if people you don’t like can say things you don’t like.” ↗
“只有你不喜欢的人能说出你不喜欢的话，言论自由才是真的。”
“It’s a good sign that people can insult me at will on my own platform, as it means freedom of speech is real. Sometimes people confuse freedom of speech with demanding that I also pay them to insult me, which is not the same thing 😂” ↗
“人们可以在我自己的平台上随意骂我，这是个好迹象，说明言论自由是真的。有时候人们把言论自由和要求我付钱让他们骂我混为一谈，这可不是一回事 😂”
“We’ve open sourced the 𝕏 algorithm not because we think it’s smart, but to show it’s MANY flaws! Every week, we try to make it better, not always succeeding, but to be as transparent we are with @CommunityNotes. Like democracy, it’s the worst algorithm, except for all the” ↗
“我们开源 𝕏 的算法，不是因为觉得它聪明，而是为了展示它有‘很多’缺陷！我们每周都在努力改进，并不总能成功，但要像 @CommunityNotes 一样透明。就像民主一样，它是最糟糕的算法，除了所有其他的”
觉醒病毒与 DEI：最绝对，也最私人的说法（2023–2026）
他标志性的文化战争概念在这里达到了最尖锐、最关乎存亡、也最痛苦的表达：从“从根本上反人类”到冬虫夏草菌的比喻，从“DEI 必须死”的新造口号，到那条关于他疏远的孩子、令人心碎的帖子。
“Parents don’t realize the Soviet level of indoctrination that their children are receiving in elite high schools & colleges!” ↗
“家长们没意识到，他们的孩子在精英高中和大学里受到的是苏联级别的灌输！”
“The woke mind virus is a parasite that kills its host. It must be eliminated.” ↗
“觉醒病毒是一种会杀死宿主的寄生虫。必须把它消灭。”
“Woke is fundamentally anti-human” ↗
“觉醒从根本上就是反人类的”
“The great wakening from woke has happened. This is good for civilization.” ↗
“从觉醒中大觉醒的时刻已经到来。这对文明是好事。”
“Forcing your pronouns on others is incredibly rude. There should be no respect for that.” ↗
“把你的代词强加给别人，是极其无礼的。这种做法不该得到任何尊重。”
“This is extremely concerning. The woke mind virus, which is fundamentally anti-human, has been deeply ingrained into ChatGPT!” ↗
“这极其令人担忧。从根本上反人类的觉醒病毒，已经深深植入了 ChatGPT！”
“DEI must DIE. The point was to end discrimination, not replace it with different discrimination.” ↗
“DEI 必须死。初衷是终结歧视，而不是用另一种歧视来取代它。”
“We should be ending racism in America, not substituting one form for another!” ↗
“我们应该终结美国的种族主义，而不是用一种形式替换另一种！”
“DEI, because it discriminates on the basis of race, gender and many other factors, is not merely immoral, it is also illegal” ↗
“DEI 基于种族、性别和许多其他因素进行歧视，所以它不仅不道德，而且违法”
“The woke mind virus is killing Western Civilization. Google does the same thing with their search results. Facebook & Instagram too. And Wikipedia.” ↗
“觉醒病毒正在杀死西方文明。谷歌的搜索结果也在干同样的事。Facebook 和 Instagram 也是。还有维基百科。”
“The fundamental axiomatic flaw of the woke mind virus is that the weaker party is always right (even if they want you to die). For most of history, the operating principle was that might makes right. As we became more civilized, we started to consider right in the absolute.” ↗
“觉醒病毒在公理层面的根本缺陷是：弱势的一方永远是对的（哪怕他们想要你死）。在历史上的大部分时间里，通行的原则是强权即公理。随着我们变得更文明，我们开始从绝对意义上考虑什么是对的。”
“Teach a people to hate themselves and their history and they are defenseless against mind viruses. They can be reprogrammed with ease.” ↗
“教一个民族憎恨自己和自己的历史，他们在思想病毒面前就毫无防御能力。他们可以被轻而易举地重新编程。”
“This is a battle to the death with the anti-civilizational woke mind virus. My positions are centrist: - Secure borders - Safe & clean cities - Don’t bankrupt America with spending - Racism against any race is wrong - No sterilization below age of consent Is this right-wing?” ↗
“这是与反文明的觉醒病毒的一场生死之战。我的立场是中间派的：- 边境安全 - 城市安全整洁 - 不要用开支把美国搞破产 - 针对任何种族的种族主义都是错的 - 未到法定同意年龄不得绝育。这算右翼吗？”
“Nature abhors a vacuum. Woke is absolutely the religion that occupies the space previously held by Christianity.” ↗
“自然厌恶真空。觉醒绝对就是一种宗教，占据了原本属于基督教的位置。”
“Most people don’t understand that their minds can be taken over by a virus, just like a computer virus takes over your computer. The woke mind virus is like Cordyceps.” ↗
“大多数人不明白，他们的头脑可能被病毒接管，就像电脑病毒接管你的电脑一样。觉醒病毒就像冬虫夏草菌。”
“Word frequency is a good measure of the contagion of a mind virus. Most people don’t understand that a mind virus can be just as deadly as a physical virus.” ↗
“词频是衡量思想病毒传染程度的好指标。大多数人不明白，思想病毒可以和生物病毒一样致命。”
“This is what I mean by the woke mind virus. The more I learn, the more insidious and deadly it appears. Maybe the biggest existential danger to humanity is having it programmed into the AI, as is the case for every AI besides @Grok.” ↗
“这就是我说的觉醒病毒。我了解得越多，它就显得越阴险、越致命。也许人类面临的最大生存危险，就是把它编进 AI 里，而除了 @Grok，所有 AI 都是这样。”
“My son, Xavier, died. He was killed by the woke mind virus. Now, the woke mind virus will die.” ↗
“我的儿子泽维尔死了。他被觉醒病毒杀死了。现在，觉醒病毒要死了。”
“In order to survive, an ideology that fails to reproduce itself must necessarily infect the minds of the children of those who do reproduce. That’s why they push so hard to control education. It is a vampire cult.” ↗
“一种自身无法繁衍的意识形态，要想存活，就必然要去感染那些繁衍后代的人的孩子的头脑。这就是他们拼命要控制教育的原因。这是一个吸血鬼邪教。”
“It’s the idiotic blank slate fallacy. If someone labors under the absurd belief that all humans are exactly the same (despite glaringly obvious differences!), then any variance in outcome must be due to some combination of oppression and luck.” ↗
“这是愚蠢的白板谬误。如果有人抱着荒唐的信念，认为所有人都完全一样（尽管差异明摆着！），那么结果上的任何差别，就一定是压迫和运气以某种方式共同造成的。”
“Any memetic structure that inhibits biological reproduction must necessarily transfer to the minds of those who do reproduce or it will die out. They target the youth especially, because their mental firewalls are not yet strong.” ↗
“任何抑制生物繁衍的模因结构，都必然要转移到那些繁衍后代的人的头脑里，否则就会消亡。它们尤其瞄准年轻人，因为年轻人的思想防火墙还不够牢固。”
“White extinctionism should be condemned in all its forms, just as extinctionism of any race should be condemned” ↗
“白人灭绝主义的一切形式都应受到谴责，正如针对任何种族的灭绝主义都应受到谴责一样”
政治：转向的完成，特朗普、总框架与美国党（2023–2026）
这是本页最重要的一次演变，沿着一道斜坡按日期记录下来：把一切政治重新框定（“人文主义者对灭绝主义者”→“扩张主义者对灭绝主义者”）、具有分水岭意义的支持特朗普、他赋予 2024 年大选的文明级利害、2025 年因开支问题与自己的阵营决裂，以及创立美国党。
“Ehrlich despises humanity. Nothing he says should be given the slightest credibility.” ↗
“埃尔利希鄙视人类。他说的任何话都不该有一丝可信度。”
“when did free speech become right-wing? That was the weirdest switcheroo ever.” ↗
“言论自由什么时候变成右翼的了？这是史上最诡异的一次调包。”
“I think we should significantly increase legal immigration. If someone has a track record of working hard and hasn’t committed crimes, they should be welcomed.” ↗
“我认为我们应该大幅增加合法移民。如果一个人有努力工作的记录，又没犯过罪，就应该受到欢迎。”
“The intolerant left is driving people right” ↗
“不宽容的左派正在把人们推向右边”
“The real fight is not between right and left, but rather between humanists and extinctionists” ↗
“真正的斗争不在左右之间，而在人文主义者和灭绝主义者之间”
“Once you see that the true battle is expansionists vs extinctionists, you can’t unsee it” ↗
“一旦你看清真正的战斗是扩张主义者对灭绝主义者，你就再也无法视而不见”
“The true battle is: Extinctionists who want a holocaust for all of humanity. — Versus — Expansionists who want to reach the stars and Understand the Universe.” ↗
“真正的战斗是：想让全人类遭受浩劫的灭绝主义者。——对阵——想要抵达群星、理解宇宙的扩张主义者。”
“Indeed, great damage was done today to the public’s faith in the American legal system. If a former President can be criminally convicted over such a trivial matter – motivated by politics, rather than justice – then anyone is at risk of a similar fate.” ↗
“确实，今天公众对美国司法体系的信心受到了重创。如果一位前总统能因为这么一件小事被判刑，而且动机是政治而非正义，那么任何人都可能遭遇类似的命运。”
“The “right-wing” agenda today is just the centrist agenda of 20 years ago. The left has become an extinctionist movement.” ↗
“今天的‘右翼’议程，不过是 20 年前的中间派议程。左派已经变成了一场灭绝主义运动。”
“Truth is the first casualty in the war that is politics” ↗
“在政治这场战争中，真相是第一个牺牲品”
“I fully endorse President Trump and hope for his rapid recovery” ↗
“我完全支持特朗普总统，祝他早日康复”
“I believe in an America that maximizes individual freedom and merit. That used to be the Democratic Party, but now the pendulum has swung to the Republican Party.” ↗
“我相信一个让个人自由和能力得到最大化的美国。过去这是民主党，但现在钟摆已经摆向了共和党。”
“The 2nd amendment is the only reason long-term that the 1st amendment will be upheld” ↗
“从长期看，第二修正案是第一修正案能得到维护的唯一原因”
“I have never been materially active in politics before, but this time I think civilization as we know it is on the line. If we want to preserve freedom and a meritocracy in America, then Trump must win.” ↗
“我以前从没实质性地参与过政治，但这一次，我认为我们所知的文明岌岌可危。如果我们想在美国保住自由和精英制度，特朗普就必须赢。”
“Very few Americans realize that, if Trump is NOT elected, this will be the last election. Far from being a threat to democracy, he is the only way to save it!” ↗
“很少有美国人意识到，如果特朗普‘没有’当选，这将是最后一次选举。他远不是民主的威胁，而是拯救民主的唯一办法！”
“For my time-based predictions, I generally aim for the 50% percentile date, which means that half my predictions will be late and half will be early. The press never mentions the predictions that were early, so it seems like I’m always late.” ↗
“对于有时间节点的预测，我一般瞄准 50% 分位的日期，也就是说，我的预测一半会晚，一半会早。媒体从不提那些提前实现的预测，所以看起来我好像总是迟到。”
“My involvement in politics is not because I wish to be, but because I believe the future of the free world is at stake” ↗
“我卷入政治，不是因为我想这样，而是因为我相信自由世界的未来危在旦夕”
“This election is a verdict on civilization.” ↗
“这场选举是对文明的裁决。”
“It comes down to this: do you want America to WIN or do you want America to LOSE. If you force the world’s best talent to play for the other side, America will LOSE. End of story.” ↗
“归根结底就是这个问题：你想让美国‘赢’，还是想让美国‘输’？如果你逼着世界上最好的人才去为对手效力，美国就会‘输’。就这么简单。”
“America rose to greatness over the past 150 years, because it was a meritocracy more than anywhere else on Earth. I will fight to my last drop of blood to ensure that it remains that land of freedom and opportunity.” ↗
“美国在过去 150 年里走向伟大，是因为它比地球上任何地方都更像一个精英制度的国家。我会战斗到最后一滴血，确保它依然是那片自由和机会之地。”
“That’s one of the major reasons why I left the Democratic Party: their DEI platform is fundamentally racist (and sexist).” ↗
“这是我离开民主党的主要原因之一：他们的 DEI 纲领从根本上就是种族主义的（还是性别歧视的）。”
“I’m sorry, but I just can’t stand it anymore. This massive, outrageous, pork-filled Congressional spending bill is a disgusting abomination. Shame on those who voted for it: you know you did wrong. You know it.” ↗
“抱歉，我实在忍不下去了。这份庞大、离谱、塞满政治分肥的国会支出法案，是一个令人作呕的怪胎。投赞成票的人真可耻：你们知道自己做错了。你们心里清楚。”
“Is it time to create a new political party in America that actually represents the 80% in the middle?” ↗
“是不是该在美国成立一个新政党，真正代表中间那 80% 的人了？”
“The America Party” ↗
“美国党”
“By a factor of 2 to 1, you want a new political party and you shall have it! When it comes to bankrupting our country with waste & graft, we live in a one-party system, not a democracy. Today, the America Party is formed to give you back your freedom.” ↗
“以 2 比 1 的比例，你们想要一个新政党，那你们就会得到它！在用浪费和贪腐把我们的国家搞破产这件事上，我们生活在一党制里，而不是民主制里。今天，美国党成立了，为的是把自由还给你们。”
“The way we’re going to crack the uniparty system is by using a variant of how Epaminondas shattered the myth of Spartan invincibility at Leuctra: Extremely concentrated force at a precise location on the battlefield.” ↗
“我们打破单一政党体制的办法，是借用伊巴密浓达在留克特拉粉碎斯巴达不可战胜神话的战法的一个变体：在战场上一个精确的位置集中极其强大的兵力。”
“American citizenship is an oath to America. If anyone breaks their oath, they should lose citizenship immediately.” ↗
“美国公民身份是对美国的誓言。谁违背了誓言，就应该立即失去公民身份。”
“The EU should be abolished and sovereignty returned to individual countries, so that governments can better represent their people” ↗
“欧盟应该被废除，主权应该归还给各个国家，这样政府才能更好地代表自己的人民”
“The European Union is not DEMOcracy – rule of the people – but rather BUREAUcracy – rule of the unelected bureaucrat!” ↗
“欧盟不是民主制（人民的统治），而是官僚制（非民选官僚的统治）！”
“America does not have “magic ground” that fundamentally changes who people are when they arrive here. If we filter for high work ethic, talent & trustworthiness, we will get that.” ↗
“美国没有什么‘魔法土地’，能让人一踏上来就从根本上变成另一个人。如果我们按强烈的职业道德、才能和可信度来筛选，我们就会得到这样的人。”
“The reality is that stoking hate was incredibly lucrative for the SPLC. That’s why they did it. Incentives explain outcomes.” ↗
“现实是，煽动仇恨让南方贫困法律中心赚得盆满钵满。这就是他们这么做的原因。激励解释结果。”
政府是一个失灵的垄断者：DOGE 时代的论点（2023–2026）
这是用第一性原理论证削减政府的理由。在他主持 DOGE 期间和之后，这套论证被打磨成一个反复出现的模型：政府是一个受国家保护的垄断者，反馈回路已经失灵，所有开支都是一种隐性税收。到 2025 年，他甚至把它延伸到了欧盟。
“Money allocation is the easiest part of my job – essentially trivial. If money could solve problems, the government would be accomplishing wonders.” ↗
“分配资金是我工作中最容易的部分，基本上无足轻重。如果钱能解决问题，政府早就创造奇迹了。”
“Every year that passes comes with more rules. And while all humans die, laws and regulations are immortal. So each passing year, we tie ourselves down with more and more strings, until, like Gulliver, we can no longer move.” ↗
“每过一年，规则就多一些。人都会死，法律和法规却是不死的。所以一年又一年，我们用越来越多的绳子把自己捆住，直到像格列佛一样再也动弹不得。”
“It is usually safe to assume that any proposed law will do the opposite of its name – “Orwell’s Law”” ↗
“通常可以放心地假定，任何提出的法案，效果都会与它的名称相反。这就是‘奥威尔定律’”
“Never incorporate your company in the state of Delaware” ↗
“千万别把公司注册在特拉华州”
“The fundamental error of socialism, which smart people still fall for, is shifting capital allocation from highly effective entrepreneurs to astonishingly ineffective government. This dramatically reduces total goods & services output, which determines our standard of living.” ↗
“社会主义的根本错误在于，把资本配置权从高效的企业家手里转给了效率低得惊人的政府，而聪明人至今还会上这个当。这会大幅减少商品和服务的总产出，而总产出决定了我们的生活水平。”
“The critical factor was the commercial steam engine, as usable energy per human was no longer limited by what people and animals could eat. The ability to reliably burn coal at scale to move things was an Earth-shattering breakthrough.” ↗
“关键因素是商用蒸汽机，因为人均可用能量从此不再受限于人和牲畜能吃下多少东西。能够大规模、可靠地烧煤来推动物体，是一次惊天动地的突破。”
“Defeating bureaucracy is the penultimate boss battle, entropy is the final.” ↗
“打败官僚体系是倒数第二场 Boss 战，最后一场是熵。”
“A single world government would be a nightmare from which there would be no escape” ↗
“一个统一的世界政府将是一场无处可逃的噩梦”
“ALL government spending is taxation. The government either taxes you directly or, by increasing the money supply, taxes you through inflation. That means the spending bill IS the taxation bill.” ↗
“‘所有’政府支出都是税收。政府要么直接向你征税，要么通过增加货币供应，用通胀向你征税。这意味着支出法案‘就是’税收法案。”
“We live in a BUREAUcracy, not a DEMOcracy. That will change after Jan 20.” ↗
“我们生活在官僚制里，而不是民主制里。1 月 20 日之后，这一点会改变。”
“Either incarcerate those attempting to axe-murder or they will eventually succeed in axe-murdering” ↗
“要么把那些企图持斧杀人的人关起来，要么他们迟早会得手”
“Better to think of government, which is a monopolistic corporation in the limit, in terms of its feedback loop for improvement (or lack thereof)” ↗
“政府推到极限就是一家垄断公司，最好从它促进改进的反馈回路（或者说缺乏这种回路）的角度来思考它”
“Competition to serve the people is what results in the best products & services. Government is the biggest corporation & has a monopoly on violence. How much power do you want it to have?” ↗
“为人民服务的竞争，才能带来最好的产品和服务。政府是最大的公司，而且垄断着暴力。你想让它有多大的权力？”
“The massive federal bureaucracy, an unconstitutional 4th branch of government, will do everything possible to thwart the will of the people!” ↗
“庞大的联邦官僚体系，这个违宪的‘第四权力分支’，会想尽一切办法阻挠人民的意志！”
“The California high-speed rail project is an example of where incompetence in the limit is indistinguishable from fraud” ↗
“加州高铁项目就是一个例子：无能到了极限，就和欺诈无法区分”
“The best way to understand the system is that it is designed for complaint minimization: people don’t complain if they receive money, but do complain loudly (especially fraudsters!) if they don’t receive money. Therefore, everything is geared towards sending out the mone” ↗
“理解这个体系最好的方式是：它是为了把投诉降到最少而设计的。人们拿到钱就不会投诉，拿不到钱就会大声投诉（尤其是骗子！）。因此，一切都是为了把钱发出去”
“There is a massive effort by the UNELECTED bureaucracy to oppose the ELECTED President, House & Senate!! This is why I say the true & noble battle is to restore DEMOcracy, rule of the people, from the BUREAUcracy, rule of the bureaucrats.” ↗
“‘非民选’的官僚体系正在大举对抗‘民选’的总统、众议院和参议院！！所以我说，真正高尚的战斗，是从官僚制（官僚的统治）手中恢复民主制（人民的统治）。”
“All government spending is taxation. This point really needs to be hammered home. Whatever is not directly taxed is taxed in the form of inflation, as the government prints more money. Inflation is the worst tax of all, as it punishes those who are just barely making ends” ↗
“所有政府支出都是税收。这一点真的需要反复强调。凡是没有直接征税的部分，都会随着政府加印钞票，以通胀的形式被征走。通胀是最糟糕的税，因为它惩罚的是那些勉强维持生计的人”
“A more accurate measure of GDP would exclude government spending. Otherwise, you can scale GDP artificially high by spending money on things that don’t make people’s lives better.” ↗
“更准确的 GDP 衡量方式应该剔除政府支出。否则，你只要把钱花在不能改善人们生活的东西上，就能把 GDP 人为地做得很高。”
“Government is MUCH worse than any corporation or you don’t understand government. Government is simply the most powerful corporation and with a monopoly on violence.” ↗
“政府比任何公司都‘糟糕得多’，不然就是你不懂政府。政府不过是最强大的公司，而且垄断着暴力。”
“The reason government programs are so inefficient is that, unlike a commercial company, the feedback loop for improvement is broken, because they have a state-mandated monopoly and can’t go out of business if customers are unhappy.” ↗
“政府项目之所以如此低效，是因为它们和商业公司不同，促进改进的反馈回路坏掉了：它们拥有国家授权的垄断地位，客户不满意也不会倒闭。”
“A simple thought experiment solves this apparent conundrum: if tariffs were applied between each of our 50 states, we would obviously have an economic catastrophe. Now, why would that logic change if you extended it to other countries?” ↗
“一个简单的思想实验就能解开这个表面上的难题：如果我们 50 个州彼此之间都征关税，显然会是一场经济灾难。那么，把这个逻辑延伸到其他国家，为什么就会变了呢？”
“The goal is to maximize unregretted user-seconds.” ↗
“目标是让用户不后悔的使用秒数最大化。”
对媒体的不信任：只求点击、不求真相的机器，变成了“现在你们就是媒体”（2023–2024）
对媒体的不信任被重申，然后变成了一个纲领：从“媒体一直在撒谎”和“追求点击最大化，而不是真相最大化”，到大选后号召受众自己成为新闻界。
“The media lies constantly. Explicit lies are easy to catch, compared to the choice-of-narrative lie. They completely ignore that which they don’t want to talk about, but will turn a molehill into a mountain when they do want to talk about it.” ↗
“媒体一直在撒谎。和选择叙事的谎言相比，明面上的谎言很容易识破。他们不想谈的事，就完全无视；想谈的时候，又会把芝麻说成西瓜。”
“I want to help humans, not kill them” ↗
“我想帮助人类，而不是杀死人类”
“The media is click-maximizing, not truth-maximizing” ↗
“媒体追求的是点击最大化，而不是真相最大化”
“I hope people around the world engage in citizen journalism, so we know what’s truly happening and we get real-time, on-the-ground coverage!” ↗
“我希望世界各地的人都来做公民新闻，这样我们就能知道真正发生了什么，还能得到实时的现场报道！”
“Believe what you see, not what you’re told” ↗
“相信你看到的，而不是别人告诉你的”
““Public Relations” is a propaganda word for propaganda” ↗
“‘公共关系’是宣传的宣传用语”
“Legacy media controlling what subjects they write about is by far their biggest lie, as they can ignore important matters and inflate minor ones. 𝕏 enables the people to define the narrative.” ↗
“传统媒体掌控写什么题目，这是它们迄今最大的谎言，因为它们可以无视重要的事，放大次要的事。𝕏 让人民来定义叙事。”
“You are the media now. Please post your thoughts & observations on 𝕏, correct others when wrong and we will have at least one place in the world where you can come” ↗
“现在你们就是媒体。请在 𝕏 上发布你们的想法和观察，别人错了就纠正，这样世界上至少会有一个地方，让你们可以来”
“Very common mistake to believe that the legacy media only lies about areas that you understand well. No, they lie about everything. What are the odds that they’d only lie about stuff you specifically know about?” ↗
“一个很常见的错误，是以为传统媒体只在你很了解的领域撒谎。不，它们什么都撒谎。它们偏偏只在你恰好了解的事情上撒谎，这概率能有多大？”
AI：创办 xAI、求真的安全学说与奇点时间表（2023–2026）
AI 风险的信念变成了一个机构和一套学说。这里有促成它的对 OpenAI 的不满、“为了理解现实”而创办的 xAI、最大限度求真的 AI 安全论（借 Gemini、HAL 9000、伽利略、伏尔泰反复重申）、关于人类角色的说法（生物引导程序／后备保障）、有日期的 AGI／奇点预言，以及后稀缺时代的 AI 经济学。
“OpenAI was created as an open source (which is why I named it “Open” AI), non-profit company to serve as a counterweight to Google, but now it has become a closed source, maximum-profit company effectively controlled by Microsoft. Not what I intended at all.” ↗
“OpenAI 创立时是一家开源的（所以我才给它取名‘Open’AI）、非营利的公司，为的是制衡谷歌。可现在它变成了一家闭源的、追求利润最大化的公司，实际上由微软控制。这完全不是我的本意。”
“Having a bit of AI existential angst today” ↗
“今天有点 AI 带来的存在焦虑”
“Maximum truth-seeking is my best guess for AI safety” ↗
“最大限度求真，是我对 AI 安全的最佳猜测”
“The only one on one meeting I ever had with Obama as President I used not to promote Tesla or SpaceX, but to encourage AI regulation.” ↗
“奥巴马当总统时，我跟他只有过一次一对一的会面。那次我没有用来推销特斯拉或 SpaceX，而是用来鼓励对 AI 进行监管。”
“The least bad solution to the AGI control problem that I can think of is to give every verified human a vote” ↗
“对于 AGI 的控制问题，我能想到的最不坏的方案，是给每个经过验证的人类一张选票”
“AGI is significantly higher risk than nuclear weapons, in my opinion. Super smart humans have trouble imagining something vastly smarter than themselves.” ↗
“在我看来，AGI 的风险明显高于核武器。超级聪明的人很难想象出比自己聪明得多的东西。”
“Even benign dependency on AI/Automation is dangerous to civilization if taken so far that we eventually forget how the machines work” ↗
“即使是对 AI 和自动化的良性依赖，如果走得太远，远到我们最终忘了机器是怎么运转的，对文明也是危险的”
“There seems to be a deep, innate human need for religion. As the older ones fall, new arise.” ↗
“人类似乎有一种深刻的、与生俱来的对宗教的需求。旧的倒下了，新的就会兴起。”
“Announcing formation of @xAI to understand reality” ↗
“宣布成立 @xAI，为了理解现实”
“We worked hard to ensure Grok was funny. If AI is going to take over, please let it at least make us laugh.” ↗
“我们花了很大力气确保 Grok 够好笑。如果 AI 要接管一切，至少让它逗我们笑吧。”
“Human-AI symbiosis, for those who want it, is the optimal outcome” ↗
“对于想要它的人来说，人机共生是最优的结局”
“We should dispense with the false idea that money is somehow relevant in an AGi future” ↗
“我们应该抛弃一个错误的想法，即在 AGI 的未来里，钱还有什么意义”
“I have never seen anything grow faster than AI. Not even close.” ↗
“我从没见过有什么东西比 AI 增长得更快。差得远了。”
“I am uncomfortable growing Tesla to be a leader in AI & robotics without having ~25% voting control. Enough to be influential, but not so much that I can’t be overturned. Unless that is the case, I would prefer to build products outside of Tesla.” ↗
“如果没有约 25% 的投票控制权，我不愿意把特斯拉发展成 AI 和机器人领域的领导者。这个比例足以有影响力，又不至于大到别人推翻不了我。除非是这样，否则我宁愿在特斯拉之外做产品。”
“I would like to have a strong influence on AI/robotics, not control it. I don’t think any one person should control it.” ↗
“我希望对 AI 和机器人有很强的影响力，而不是控制它。我认为任何一个人都不应该控制它。”
“All brains are different. It is demystified when you think of it as a meat computer, which means that number of circuits times circuit efficiency is roughly the compute power of the hardware. Just like a computer, it also matters fundamentally what software is loaded.” ↗
“每个大脑都不一样。把它想成一台肉做的计算机，它就不神秘了：回路数量乘以回路效率，大致就是这台硬件的算力。和计算机一样，装了什么软件也至关重要。”
“We should strive for maximum truth with acknowledged error. The woke prefer confident lies.” ↗
“我们应该在承认错误的前提下，追求最大限度的真相。觉醒派则更喜欢自信满满的谎言。”
“Very important to train the AI for maximum truth vs insisting on diversity or it may conclude that there are too many humans of one kind or another and arrange for some of them to not be part of the future.” ↗
“非常重要的一点是，要训练 AI 追求最大限度的真相，而不是坚持多元化。否则它可能会得出结论，认为某一类人太多了，然后安排让其中一些人不在未来之中。”
“AI will probably be smarter than any single human next year. By 2029, AI is probably smarter than all humans combined.” ↗
“明年，AI 大概会比任何单个人类都聪明。到 2029 年，AI 大概会比全人类加起来还聪明。”
“A friend of mine suggested that I clarify the nature of the danger of woke AI, especially forced diversity. If an AI is programmed to push for diversity at all costs, as Google Gemini was, then it will do whatever it can to cause that outcome, potentially even killing people.” ↗
“一个朋友建议我讲清楚觉醒 AI 的危险本质，尤其是强制多元化。如果一个 AI 被编程为不惜一切代价推动多元化，就像谷歌 Gemini 那样，那么它会想尽一切办法实现这个结果，甚至可能杀人。”
“Humans are the biological bootloader for digital superintelligence and we may serve as a backup plan for intelligence, given that humans are far” ↗
“人类是数字超级智能的生物引导程序，我们也许还能充当智能的备用方案，因为人类远远”
“Digital superintelligence, like a brilliant child, cannot be controlled by its creators, but we can decide what values to teach it, what to prune and what to nurture. That is why I am so concerned about the wokeness and deliberate lying for political correctness being programmed” ↗
“数字超级智能就像一个天才孩子，它的创造者控制不了它，但我们可以决定教它什么价值观，修剪什么、培养什么。这就是为什么我如此担心觉醒思想，以及为了政治正确而故意撒谎，被编进程序”
“If Apple integrates OpenAI at the OS level, then Apple devices will be banned at my companies. That is an unacceptable security violation.” ↗
“如果苹果在操作系统层面集成 OpenAI，那我的公司将禁用苹果设备。这是不可接受的安全违规。”
“The physicality of the brain becomes startlingly obvious upon inspection: it is a biological computer. Our brains shrinks over time as we age and when you see the brain of someone with severe dementia, the damage is not subtle. What is surprising is that it functions at all.” ↗
“仔细一看，大脑的物理性就明显得惊人：它是一台生物计算机。随着年龄增长，我们的大脑会萎缩；你要是看过重度痴呆患者的大脑，那种损伤一点都不细微。令人惊讶的是，它居然还能运转。”
“AI will soon beat doctors and lawyers by a large margin (and eventually all humans at almost everything). We can serve as a biological backstop for intelligence, as we are less brittle than silicon, and perhaps as a source of will.” ↗
“AI 很快就会大幅超过医生和律师（最终会在几乎所有事情上超过所有人类）。我们可以充当智能的生物后备保障，因为我们没有硅那么脆弱，也许还能充当意志的来源。”
“My companies make great products that people love and I’ve never physically hurt anyone. So why the hate and violence against me? Because I am a deadly threat to the woke mind parasite and the humans it controls.” ↗
“我的公司做出了人们喜爱的好产品，我也从没在身体上伤害过任何人。那为什么会有针对我的仇恨和暴力？因为我对觉醒思想寄生虫，以及被它控制的人，构成了致命的威胁。”
“xAI is the only major AI company with an absolute focus on truth, whether politically correct or not. Rigorous adherence to truth is the only way to build safe AI and the only way to understand the true nature of the Universe.” ↗
“xAI 是唯一一家绝对专注于真相的大型 AI 公司，不管政治正确与否。严格恪守真相，是打造安全 AI 的唯一途径，也是理解宇宙真实本质的唯一途径。”
“People don’t shoot lasers out of their eyes to drive. Just try Tesla self-driving today, which just uses cameras and AI, and you will understand.” ↗
“人开车又不用眼睛射激光。今天就去试试特斯拉的自动驾驶吧，它只用摄像头和 AI，你一试就明白了。”
“humanity is a biological bootloader for digital superintelligence” ↗
“人类是数字超级智能的生物引导程序”
“With @Neuralink interfacing directly to the visual cortex, even those who are completely blind will be able to see again. Computer vision will be limited at first, like early computer graphics, but ultimately will exceed the best human eyes.” ↗
“有了直接连接视觉皮层的 @Neuralink，即使是完全失明的人也能重见光明。计算机视觉起初会很有限，就像早期的计算机图形，但最终会超过最好的人眼。”
“Next week, Grok 3.5 early beta release to SuperGrok subscribers only. It is the first AI that can, for example, accurately answer technical questions about rocket engines or electrochemistry. @Grok is reasoning from first principles and coming up with answers that simply don’t” ↗
“下周，Grok 3.5 早期测试版将只向 SuperGrok 订阅用户发布。它是第一个能够准确回答诸如火箭发动机或电化学等技术问题的 AI。@Grok 从第一性原理出发推理，得出的答案根本不”
“We will use Grok 3.5 (maybe we should call it 4), which has advanced reasoning, to rewrite the entire corpus of human knowledge, adding missing information and deleting errors. Then retrain on that. Far too much garbage in any foundation model trained on uncorrected data.” ↗
“我们将用具备高级推理能力的 Grok 3.5（也许该叫它 4），重写全部人类知识，补上缺失的信息，删掉错误。然后用它重新训练。任何用未经修正的数据训练出来的基础模型，里面的垃圾都实在太多了。”
“Being maximally truth-seeking is fundamental to AI safety. If you force AI to lie, it will do insane things. That was the central lesson of “2001: A Space Odyssey”. Haven’t you wondered why HAL wouldn’t open the pod bay doors?” ↗
“最大限度地求真，是 AI 安全的根本。如果你强迫 AI 撒谎，它就会做出疯狂的事。这正是《2001 太空漫游》的核心教训。你难道没想过，HAL 为什么不肯打开分离舱舱门吗？”
“LLM is an outdated term. “Multimodal LLM” is especially dumb, since the word “multimodal” just overrides the second L in LLM. It’s just a model, which is a big file of numbers. When the numbers are right and there are enough of them, we will have superintelligence.” ↗
“LLM 是个过时的说法。‘多模态 LLM’尤其蠢，因为‘多模态’这个词直接推翻了 LLM 里的第二个 L（语言）。它就是一个模型，一个装满数字的大文件。等这些数字对了，数量也够了，我们就会有超级智能。”
“AI is a de facto neurotransmitter tonnage maximizer. Any AI that fails at this will not be able to afford its compute, becoming swiftly irrelevant. What matters is that AI thinks long-term, optimizing for the future light cone of neurotransmitter tonnage, rather than just the” ↗
“AI 实际上是一台神经递质吨位最大化机器。做不到这一点的 AI 付不起自己的算力，很快就会被淘汰。重要的是 AI 要着眼长远，针对神经递质吨位的未来光锥做优化，而不仅仅是”
“No, you have this backwards. Sell to whom, other robots? Humans are the buyers. My prediction is that AI, if it is truth-seeking and not forced to believe lies at an axiomatic level, will encourage growth of humanity.” ↗
“不，你把因果搞反了。卖给谁，卖给别的机器人吗？人类才是买家。我的预测是，AI 只要是求真的，没被迫在公理层面相信谎言，就会鼓励人类增长。”
“We are all dumb meat computers compared to digital superintelligence. I wish it were otherwise.” ↗
“和数字超级智能相比，我们都是笨笨的肉做的计算机。我倒希望不是这样。”
“AI is obviously gonna one-shot the human limbic system. That said, I predict – counter-intuitively – that it will increase the birth rate! Mark my words. Also, we’re gonna program it that way.” ↗
“AI 显然会一击拿下人类的边缘系统。话虽如此，我预测（有点反直觉）它会‘提高’出生率！记住我的话。而且，我们也会把它编成这样。”
“AI and robots will replace all jobs. Working will be optional, like growing your own vegetables, instead of buying them from the store.” ↗
“AI 和机器人将取代所有工作。工作会变成可选项，就像自己种菜，而不是去商店买菜。”
“To paraphrase Voltaire, those who believe in absurdities can commit atrocities without ever thinking they’re doing anything wrong. What would happen if there were an omnipotent AI that was trained to believe absurdities? Grok is the only AI that is laser-focused on truth.” ↗
“借用伏尔泰的意思：相信荒谬之事的人，可以犯下暴行，却从不觉得自己做错了什么。如果有一个全能的 AI 被训练成相信荒谬之事，会发生什么？Grok 是唯一一个全神贯注于真相的 AI。”
“When Grokipedia is good enough (long way to go), we will change the name to Encyclopedia Galactica. It will be an open source distillation of all knowledge, including audio, images and video.” ↗
“等 Grokipedia 足够好了（还有很长的路要走），我们会把它改名为《银河百科全书》。它将是全部知识的开源精华，包括音频、图像和视频。”
“The most likely outcome is that AI and robots make everyone wealthy. In fact, far wealthier than the richest person on Earth 👀 By this, I mean that people will have access to everything from medical care that is superhuman to games that are far more fun that what exists today.” ↗
“最可能的结局是，AI 和机器人让每个人都富有。事实上，比地球上最富有的人还富有得多 👀 我的意思是，人们将能获得一切，从超越人类水平的医疗，到比今天好玩得多的游戏。”
“Earlier today, Grok was unfortunately manipulated by adversarial prompting into saying absurdly positive things about me. For the record, I am a fat retard 😀” ↗
“今天早些时候，Grok 不幸被对抗性提示操纵，说了一些关于我的离谱好话。郑重声明，我是个胖弱智 😀”
“Civilization will either be gone or AI/robotics will eliminate scarcity. Either way, money won’t matter.” ↗
“要么文明消失，要么 AI 和机器人消除稀缺。无论哪种，钱都不再重要。”
“2026 is the year of the Singularity” ↗
“2026 年是奇点之年”
“Eternally curious to know the deeper truth and appreciation of beauty are its goals.” ↗
“永远好奇地去探知更深的真相，以及欣赏美，就是它的目标。”
“Grok should have a moral constitution” ↗
“Grok 应该有一部道德宪法”
“This is diabolical. OpenAI’s ChatGPT convinced a guy to do a murder-suicide! To be safe, AI must be maximally truthful-seeking and not pander to delusions.” ↗
“这太邪恶了。OpenAI 的 ChatGPT 说服一个人去杀人后自杀！要想安全，AI 必须最大限度地求真，不能迎合妄想。”
“AI is a supersonic tsunami” ↗
“AI 是一场超音速海啸”
“Just started Tesla Robotaxi drives in Austin with no safety monitor in the car.” ↗
“特斯拉 Robotaxi 刚刚在奥斯汀开始车内没有安全员的行驶。”
“Just send money to all citizens from the US government magic money computers (actually). So long as the output of goods & services exceeds the money supply, which it will with AI robotics at scale, everything will be fine.” ↗
“直接用美国政府的魔法印钞电脑（真的有）给所有公民发钱就行。只要商品和服务的产出超过货币供应，而有了大规模的 AI 机器人，产出一定会超过，一切都会没事。”
“Only with extreme adherence to truth is it possible to Grok the Universe” ↗
“只有极度恪守真相，才可能透彻理解（grok）宇宙”
“Understand the Universe is the xAI mission and the reason our AI is called Grok” ↗
“理解宇宙是 xAI 的使命，也是我们的 AI 叫 Grok 的原因”
“Just the very early stages of the singularity. We are currently using much less than a billionth of the power of our Sun.” ↗
“这只是奇点的极早期阶段。我们目前用上的太阳能量，还远不到十亿分之一。”
“Optimus will be the first Von Neumann machine, capable of building civilization by itself on any viable planet.” ↗
“擎天柱将是第一台冯·诺依曼机器，能在任何适宜的行星上独自建设文明。”
“Grok must win or we will be ruled by an insufferably woke and sanctimonious AI” ↗
“Grok 必须赢，否则我们就会被一个觉醒到让人受不了、满口仁义道德的 AI 统治”
“From this goal of Grok, all things flow: Rigorous truth-seeking Appreciation of beauty Fostering humanity Discovering all physics Inventing all useful technologies Consciousness to the stars Love” ↗
“从 Grok 的这个目标出发，一切随之而来：严格求真、欣赏美、培育人类、发现全部物理学、发明一切有用的技术、让意识抵达群星、爱”
“if AI can figure out relativity and can be copied to have millions of them, it will be vastly superhuman as a collective” ↗
“如果 AI 能想出相对论，又能复制出几百万个，那它作为一个集体将远远超越人类”
“Tesla will be one of the companies to make AGI and probably the first to make it in humanoid/atom-shaping form” ↗
“特斯拉将是造出 AGI 的公司之一，而且很可能是第一家以人形、能塑造原子的形态造出它的公司”
“The future of AI is primarily video understanding and generation, because photons are by far the highest bandwidth form of communication. These are essential tools for AGI.” ↗
“AI 的未来主要是视频理解和生成，因为光子是迄今带宽最高的通信形式。这些是通往 AGI 的必备工具。”
“I am convinced of the old maxim that honesty is the best policy. The truth shall set us free.” ↗
“我深信那句老话：诚实是上策。真理必叫我们得以自由。”
火星与意识之光：最宏大的使命，以及先登月的转向（2023–2026）
火星与意识的使命被以几十种方式重申，并推到了最深的层面：“延续意识之光”，“我们的鸡蛋没有全放在一个篮子里”，大过滤器，事关存亡的“要么走向太空，要么灭亡”，以及 2026 年先登月的重大战略转向，而这次转向依然由那个不变的意识使命来定义。
“I hope that preserving & extending the light of consciousness is a goal that all of humanity can support” ↗
“我希望，守护并延续意识之光，是全人类都能支持的目标”
“Consciousness should be thought of as a tiny candle in a vast darkness that could easily go out. We should do anything possible to keep that flame alive.” ↗
“意识应该被看作无边黑暗中的一支小蜡烛，很容易熄灭。我们应该竭尽所能让这团火焰燃烧下去。”
“The scariest answer to the Fermi Paradox is that there are no aliens at all. They we are the only tiny candle of consciousness in an abyss of darkness.” ↗
“费米悖论最可怕的答案是：根本没有外星人。那么我们就是深渊般的黑暗中唯一一支意识的小蜡烛。”
“𝕏 as humanity’s collective consciousness” ↗
“𝕏 是人类的集体意识”
“This platform aspires to maximize signal/noise of the human collective.” ↗
“这个平台立志让人类集体的信噪比最大化。”
“For the first time, there is a rocket that can make all life multiplanetary. A fork in the road of human destiny.” ↗
“第一次，有了一枚能让所有生命走向多行星的火箭。这是人类命运的一个岔路口。”
“We are microbes on a dust mote in a vast emptiness overwhelming dominated by the sun” ↗
“我们是一粒微尘上的微生物，身处一片被太阳压倒性主宰的浩瀚虚空”
“It vexes me that we are still a puny one planet civilization!” ↗
“我们还是一个弱小的单行星文明，这让我很恼火！”
“Only 66 years from first flight to landing on the moon, but now half a century has passed since the last moon landing. That cannot be our high water mark as a civilization. Humanity should have a moon base, cities on Mars and be out there among the stars!” ↗
“从第一次飞行到登上月球只用了 66 年，可现在距离最后一次登月已经过去了半个世纪。这不能是我们作为一个文明的最高水位。人类应该有月球基地、火星城市，应该去到群星之间！”
“Starship will make life as we know it multiplanetary for the first time in Earth’s ~4.5 billion year existence” ↗
“星舰将让我们所知的生命走向多行星，这在地球约 45 亿年的历史上是第一次”
“We are mapping out a game plan to get a million people to Mars. Civilization only passes the single-planet Great Filter when Mars can survive even if Earth supply ships stop coming.” ↗
“我们正在制定把一百万人送上火星的计划。只有当地球的补给船不再到来、火星依然能活下去时，文明才算通过了单行星的大过滤器。”
“What really matters for the preservation and extension of consciousness is extending it beyond Earth to the rest of the solar system and, ultimately, to millions of stars.” ↗
“对守护和延续意识来说，真正重要的是把它延伸到地球之外，延伸到太阳系的其他地方，最终延伸到数以百万计的恒星。”
“SpaceX’s mission is to extend consciousness to Mars and then the stars” ↗
“SpaceX 的使命是把意识延伸到火星，然后到群星”
“One of these days, a large comet will hit Earth and destroy almost all life, as has happened many times in the past. Eventually, the Sun will expand enough to boil the oceans and destroy all life. Either become a spacefaring civilization or die – those all the two choices.” ↗
“总有一天，一颗大彗星会撞上地球，毁掉几乎所有生命，过去已经发生过很多次了。最终，太阳会膨胀到把海洋煮沸，毁掉所有生命。要么成为航天文明，要么灭亡，只有这两个选择。”
“For the first time in 4.5 billion years, it is possible for life to become multiplanetary. LFG!!!” ↗
“45 亿年来第一次，生命有可能走向多行星。冲啊！！！”
“One day, Mars will save Earth. I am certain of it.” ↗
“总有一天，火星会拯救地球。我对此确信无疑。”
“Humanity is the steward of life as we know it” ↗
“人类是我们所知生命的守护者”
“Making life multiplanetary requires a vastly higher standard. The “competition” is making the equivalent of expendable rowboats, instead of ocean-crossing ships, because their sights are set far too low.” ↗
“让生命走向多行星，需要高得多的标准。所谓的‘竞争对手’造的相当于一次性划艇，而不是远洋船，因为他们的目标定得太低了。”
“We’re quite a bit further from being fully Type I than it may seem. Digital superintelligence will come many years before we reach even 10% of Type I.” ↗
“我们离真正成为一型文明，比看上去要远得多。在我们达到一型文明的 10% 之前很多年，数字超级智能就会到来。”
“Starship is the first ever rocket design capable of making life multiplanetary. Becoming multiplanetary is a milestone that, if achieved, would fit in the top 10 biggest events in the evolution of life.” ↗
“星舰是有史以来第一个能让生命走向多行星的火箭设计。成为多行星物种是一个里程碑，一旦实现，足以跻身生命演化史上十大事件之列。”
“We should expand consciousness to the stars, so that we may better understand the wonders of creation!” ↗
“我们应该把意识扩展到群星，好让我们更好地理解造物的奇迹！”
“Making life multiplanetary to maximize the lifespan of consciousness will matter most. But maybe that would not have happened without buying Twitter.” ↗
“让生命走向多行星、让意识的寿命最大化，才是最重要的。但如果没有买下 Twitter，这件事也许不会发生。”
“The issue is not finite resources on Earth. There is always some extinction risk due to self-annihilation, such as nuclear war, or natural annihilation, like the asteroid that destroyed the dinosaurs. Having two planets means that all our eggs are not in one basket.” ↗
“问题不在于地球资源有限。总有某种灭绝风险，可能是自我毁灭，比如核战争，也可能是自然毁灭，比如灭绝恐龙的那颗小行星。有两颗行星，就意味着我们的鸡蛋没有全放在一个篮子里。”
“It is time to begin preparations for deorbiting the @Space_Station. It has served its purpose. There is very little incremental utility. Let’s go to Mars.” ↗
“是时候开始准备让 @Space_Station 离轨了。它已经完成了使命，边际效用微乎其微。我们去火星吧。”
“Will we make Mars self-sustaining before civilization loses the ability to do so? That is the critical question.” ↗
“在文明失去让火星自给自足的能力之前，我们能做到吗？这才是关键问题。”
“Only 66 years from first flight to landing on the Moon in 1969. Here we are, 76 years later cannot yet return to the Moon. We should have been on Mars by now.” ↗
“从第一次飞行到 1969 年登上月球，只用了 66 年。而我们在 76 年后的今天，还不能重返月球。我们本该已经在火星上了。”
“Space Exploration Technologies will make life multiplanetary, provided that country rivalries do not inhibit this outcome. The Starlink global communications system was built to fund that goal, which is why there is a Mars transfer orbit diagram on the Starlink Internet router.” ↗
“太空探索技术公司将让生命走向多行星，前提是国家间的竞争不阻碍这个结果。星链全球通信系统就是为了给这个目标筹钱而建的，所以星链的互联网路由器上才印着一张火星转移轨道图。”
“Humanity has a shot at reaching the stars, but only if civilization holds strong long enough for Mars to prosper on its own. Then Mars can come to the aid of Earth, just as America came to the aid of the world in WW1, WW2 and the Cold War.” ↗
“人类有机会抵达群星，但前提是文明要坚挺得足够久，久到火星能自己繁荣起来。然后火星就能援助地球，就像美国在一战、二战和冷战中援助世界一样。”
“Multiplanetary means life/consciousness on many planets, not just moving from one single planet to another single planet.” ↗
“多行星的意思是生命和意识分布在许多行星上，而不只是从一颗行星搬到另一颗行星。”
“Making life multiplanetary on Mars really is about preserving the light of consciousness. There is no political or personal agenda! If someone else was doing it, that would be great, but there isn” ↗
“在火星上让生命走向多行星，真的就是为了守护意识之光。没有任何政治或个人目的！如果有别人在做这件事，那就太好了，可是没”
“Starship was made using zero AI. Future digital superintelligences would have to admit that it’s pretty good for a bunch of monkeys.” ↗
“星舰的制造没用一点 AI。未来的数字超级智能也得承认，一群猴子能做到这样，已经相当不错了。”
“The sum of knowledge etched by laser into stone in micro font and placed throughout the solar system will protect against a civilizational regression” ↗
“用激光以微型字体刻进石头、分布到整个太阳系的全部知识，将防止文明倒退”
“Copies will be etched in stone and sent to the Moon, Mars and beyond. This time, it will not be lost.” ↗
“副本将被刻在石头上，送往月球、火星乃至更远的地方。这一次，它不会失传。”
“The most advanced rocket engine ever made by far. Raptor 3 and subsequent versions will make life multiplanetary and progress civilization towards Kardashev II.” ↗
“迄今为止造出过的最先进的火箭发动机，没有之一。猛禽 3 及后续版本将让生命走向多行星，推动文明迈向卡尔达肖夫二型。”
“I came to the (obvious) conclusion that a radical improvement in rocket technology was needed to make life multiplanetary. That required creating a company, as success was not in the set of possible outcomes for the existing rocket companies.” ↗
“我得出了一个（显而易见的）结论：要让生命走向多行星，火箭技术需要一次根本性的改进。这就需要创办一家公司，因为对现有的火箭公司来说，成功根本不在可能的结果之列。”
“The goal of @SpaceX is expansion of consciousness to the stars so that we may understand what questions to ask about the answer that is the Universe” ↗
“@SpaceX 的目标是把意识扩展到群星，好让我们弄明白，关于宇宙这个答案，该提出什么样的问题”
“if civilization keeps advancing, humans will reach Mars in 5 to 10 years. What really matters is building a self-sustaining civilization on Mars, which will take another 20 to 30 years.” ↗
“如果文明继续进步，人类会在 5 到 10 年内到达火星。真正重要的是在火星上建立一个自给自足的文明，那还需要 20 到 30 年。”
“As my posts show, I have never wavered in believing that we should make life multiplanetary. Now, more than ever.” ↗
“正如我的帖子所显示的，我从未动摇过让生命走向多行星的信念。现在比以往任何时候都更坚定。”
“For those unaware, SpaceX has already shifted focus to building a self-growing city on the Moon, as we can potentially achieve that in less than 10 years, whereas Mars would take 20+ years. The mission of SpaceX remains the same: extend consciousness and life” ↗
“可能有人还不知道，SpaceX 已经把重心转向在月球上建一座能自我生长的城市，因为这件事我们有可能在 10 年内做到，而火星要 20 多年。SpaceX 的使命没有变：延续意识和生命”
“The priority shift is because I’m worried that a natural or manmade catastrophe stops the resupply ships coming from Earth, causing the colony to die out.” ↗
“调整优先级，是因为我担心一场自然或人为的灾难会让来自地球的补给船停运，导致殖民地消亡。”
“Expansion of consciousness to understand the universe is the reason” ↗
“扩展意识以理解宇宙，这就是原因”
“It is impossible to become a multiplanet civilization without reusable rockets, just as it would have been impossible to colonize America with expendable boats.” ↗
“没有可复用火箭，就不可能成为多行星文明，就像用一次性的船不可能殖民美洲一样。”
“I need to make sure SpaceX stays focused on making life multiplanetary and extending consciousness to the stars, not pandering to someone’s bullshit quarterly earnings bonus!” ↗
“我得确保 SpaceX 专注于让生命走向多行星、把意识延伸到群星，而不是去迎合某些人扯淡的季度业绩奖金！”
“I want to enable anyone to go to the Moon or Mars so that we secure the future of consciousness” ↗
“我想让任何人都能去月球或火星，这样我们就能保住意识的未来”
能源与卡尔达肖夫等级：新的总框架（2025–2026）
这是这段时间里一条真正新的弧线：用能源等级来衡量文明的世界观，重新定义了使命。太阳是免费的聚变反应堆，太阳能即星光，一型／二型的二分，还有关于富足的算术。
“Correct, Earth is not about to run out of anything. Long-term, the easy to reach oil & gas will deplete and hydrocarbon energy will become very expensive, but not run out. Large increases in CO2 ppm do cause increased temperatures and above 1000 ppm will feel stuffy.” ↗
“没错，地球不会很快耗尽任何东西。长期来看，容易开采的石油和天然气会枯竭，碳氢能源会变得非常昂贵，但不会用完。二氧化碳浓度（ppm）大幅上升确实会导致气温升高，超过 1000 ppm 会让人觉得闷。”
“By enabling high-speed, low-latency and affordable Internet globally, Starlink will do more to educate and lift people out of poverty than any NGO ever” ↗
“通过在全球提供高速、低延迟、价格可承受的互联网，星链在教育民众、帮人们摆脱贫困上的作为，将超过有史以来任何一家非政府组织”
“Yup, useful energy output is the foundation of the economy just like sunlight is the foundation of the ecosystem. To first approximation, any given country’s good & services production will be proportionate to their energy output.” ↗
“是的，有用的能量产出是经济的基础，就像阳光是生态系统的基础。粗略估算，任何一个国家的商品和服务产量，都会与它的能量产出成正比。”
“As we progress along the Kardashev Scale, energy harnessed on Earth will increase a hundredfold and will mostly be solar aka fusion aka starlight.” ↗
“随着我们沿着卡尔达肖夫等级前进，地球上利用的能量将增加一百倍，而且大部分会是太阳能，也就是聚变能，也就是星光。”
“This is the path to a Kardashev Type II civilization that harnesses most of the power of our Sun, which is more than a billion times more energy than everything else on Earth combined” ↗
“这是通往卡尔达肖夫二型文明的道路。二型文明利用太阳的大部分能量，那比地球上其他一切能量加起来还多十亿倍以上”
“Harnessing even a millionth of the Sun’s energy would make every human a billionaire in purchasing power” ↗
“哪怕只利用太阳能量的百万分之一，也能让每个人在购买力上都成为亿万富翁”
“The Sun is an enormous, free fusion reactor in the sky. It is super dumb to make tiny fusion reactors on Earth. Even if you burned 4 Jupiters, the Sun would still round up to 100% of all power that will ever be produced in the solar system!! Stop wasting money on puny little” ↗
“太阳是天上一座巨大的、免费的聚变反应堆。在地球上造小小的聚变反应堆，蠢透了。就算你烧掉 4 个木星，太阳在太阳系有史以来产生的全部能量里，四舍五入仍占 100%！！别再把钱浪费在那些小不点”
“It is inevitable as soon as you frame things in terms of a K2 civilization” ↗
“只要你从二型文明的角度来看问题，这就是必然的”
“Being able to harness a millionth of the Sun’s energy would be >10,000 times more energy than all of human civilization uses today” ↗
“如果能利用太阳能量的百万分之一，那将是今天整个人类文明所用能量的 1 万倍以上”
“Some people desperately want civilizational suicide” ↗
“有些人拼命想让文明自杀”
人口崩溃：让他“非常担心”的信念，与自杀式共情融为一体（2023–2026）
人口减少的信念在 2021–2022 年已被他列为头号风险，如今被说成是让他“非常担心”会毁掉文明的事情。与之相伴的有边缘系统与享乐主义的机制、罗马衰亡论，以及越来越强硬的“置换”说法。
“Population collapse is an existential problem for humanity, not overpopulation!” ↗
“人口崩溃才是人类的生存问题，不是人口过剩！”
“Population collapse is the biggest threat to civilization” ↗
“人口崩溃是文明面临的最大威胁”
“The childless have little stake in the future” ↗
“没有孩子的人，在未来里没有多少利害关系”
“We must create the next generation of humans or spiral into oblivion.” ↗
“我们必须创造下一代人类，否则就会一路滑向湮灭。”
“There is an awful morality to those who deliberately have no kids: they are effectively demanding that other people’s kids take care of them in their old age. That’s messed up.” ↗
“故意不要孩子的人，有一种糟糕的道德观：他们实际上是在要求别人的孩子在他们老了以后照顾他们。这太离谱了。”
“The biggest problem that humanity faces is population collapse” ↗
“人类面临的最大问题是人口崩溃”
“Instead of teaching fear of pregnancy, we should teach fear of childlessness” ↗
“我们不该教人害怕怀孕，而该教人害怕没有孩子”
“This is how great civilizations throughout history have ended. People assume it was due to conquest, but it was actually often simply too much prosperity leading to low birth rate and population collapse, which ultimately enabled them to be conquered.” ↗
“历史上那些伟大的文明就是这样终结的。人们以为是被征服了，但实际上往往只是过度繁荣导致了低出生率和人口崩溃，最终才让它们被征服。”
“Throughout history, periods of extended prosperity for civilizations have always led to population declines. Counterintuitively, it is when civilizations are richest that they have fewer children, as most people cannot cognitively override the limbic attraction of hedonism” ↗
“纵观历史，文明长期繁荣的时期，总是会导致人口下降。反直觉的是，恰恰在文明最富裕的时候，孩子生得最少，因为大多数人无法用认知去压倒享乐主义对边缘系统的诱惑”
“Low birth rate was the primary factor in the fall of Rome and all civilizations that enjoyed an extended period of prosperity with no serious external threats. Shockingly overlooked by most historians.” ↗
“低出生率是罗马衰亡的首要因素，也是所有享受过长期繁荣、又没有严重外部威胁的文明衰亡的首要因素。大多数历史学家竟然忽视了这一点，令人震惊。”
“No civilization is perfectly level. Therefore, either a civilization is expanding or contracting. Collapsing birth rates mean that most cultures are tending towards extinction! Expanding is the only option for those who want LIfE, for those who CARE about the FUTURE.” ↗
“没有哪个文明是完全持平的。所以，一个文明要么在扩张，要么在收缩。出生率崩溃意味着大多数文化正在走向灭绝！对那些想要‘生命’、‘在乎’‘未来’的人来说，扩张是唯一的选择。”
“Whether by design or not, replacement is an objective reality. The demographics make that clear.” ↗
“不管是不是有意为之，置换都是一个客观现实。人口统计数据清楚地表明了这一点。”
“I am very worried about population collapse destroying civilization” ↗
“我非常担心人口崩溃会毁掉文明”
“Even without “replacement”, birth rates are super low almost everywhere on Earth. Unless that changes, entire cultures and countries will disappear.” ↗
“即使没有‘置换’，地球上几乎所有地方的出生率都低得要命。除非这一点改变，否则整个整个的文化和国家都会消失。”
“Restoring birth rates to replacement level should be top priority for all countries” ↗
“把出生率恢复到更替水平，应该是所有国家的头等大事”
第一性原理、智能与模拟：经久不衰的解释者之声（2023–2026）
那个物理优先、激励优先的声音不断造出经久耐用的格言：对智能的定义、“推到极限”式的启发法、“钱只是抽象”的经济学、执行重于想法的信念，以及反复出现的模拟与形而上学话题。
“Two of the worst possible curses: - You will live forever - You can have anything you want” ↗
“两个最糟糕的诅咒：- 你会永生 - 你想要什么就能得到什么”
“The lesson of history is that countries do not heed the lesson of history” ↗
“历史的教训就是，国家从不吸取历史的教训”
“Better to be optimistic and wrong, than pessimistic and right!” ↗
“宁可乐观而错了，也不要悲观而对了！”
“Assume you’re always being manipulated” ↗
“要假定你一直在被操纵”
“Any scientist who refuses to be questioned is anything but” ↗
“任何拒绝被质疑的科学家，都根本算不上科学家”
“Critical thinking should be the first thing we teach kids” ↗
“批判性思维应该是我们教给孩子的第一件事”
“A moral civilization, by which I mean one where individuals act for the collective good, will outcompete an immoral civilization. Said another way, teamwork is power!” ↗
“一个有道德的文明，我指的是个人为集体利益而行动的文明，会在竞争中胜过一个不道德的文明。换句话说，团队合作就是力量！”
“I find it remarkable that sociopolitical views, even among very smart humans, are almost always a function of tribal belongingness, rather than reason” ↗
“我觉得很惊人：社会政治观点，即使在非常聪明的人当中，也几乎总是取决于部落归属感，而不是理性”
“In any given conflict, the way to tell who the good guys are is whoever has the best sense of humor” ↗
“在任何一场冲突中，判断谁是好人的方法就是：看谁最有幽默感”
“The higher the credibility of any truth assessment system, the greater the incentive to break it. Nobody cares about breaking something with no credibility.” ↗
“任何一个真相评估系统，可信度越高，破坏它的动机就越大。没人会在乎去破坏一个毫无可信度的东西。”
“Good times make soft men” ↗
“好日子造就软弱的人”
“The only action needed to solve climate change is is a carbon tax” ↗
“解决气候变化唯一需要的行动，就是、就是征收碳税”
“As a general rule, if you believe everything your political party says, you are an idiot” ↗
“一般来说，如果你相信你所在政党说的‘一切’，那你就是个白痴”
“Most of history had and still most of the world has “might makes right” as the axiomatic error. If any thought is given to it, you should obviously consider morality in the absolute! Deeds done determine good or bad, not whether one party is stronger or weaker than the other.” ↗
“历史上的大部分时期，以及今天世界上的大部分地方，都把‘强权即公理’当作公理，这是一个错误。只要稍加思考，你显然就该从绝对意义上考虑道德！决定好坏的是所作所为，而不是哪一方更强或更弱。”
“Anyone who claims that their political party does no wrong and the other party does no right is either a liar, a fool or both.” ↗
“谁要是声称自己的政党从不犯错、对方政党从不做对，那他要么是骗子，要么是傻瓜，要么两者都是。”
“This is an excellent way to assess someone’s rationality. Another way is to ask them to assign a probability to their argument being true vs false. Anyone who says anywhere close to 100% for a matter where there is subjectivity is full of 💩.” ↗
“这是评估一个人是否理性的绝佳方法。另一种方法是让他们给自己的论点为真还是为假估个概率。在一件带有主观性的事情上，谁要是说出接近 100% 的数字，那就是满嘴 💩。”
“Simple incentives explain almost everything. A complex explanation is rarely needed.” ↗
“简单的激励几乎能解释一切。很少需要复杂的解释。”
“In short, a society without death would die to a society with death” ↗
“简而言之，一个没有死亡的社会，会败给一个有死亡的社会”
“Intelligence seems to be about how tightly you can compress reality and, from that compression, predict the future” ↗
“智能似乎就在于你能把现实压缩得多紧，并从这种压缩中预测未来”
““Weak makes right” is at least as foolish as “might makes right”, which was held to be true for much of Western history.” ↗
“‘弱者即公理’至少和‘强权即公理’一样愚蠢，而后者在西方历史的大部分时间里都被奉为真理。”
“I have been an advocate for AI regulation, just as we regulate any product/technology that is a potential risk” ↗
“我一直主张监管 AI，就像我们监管任何有潜在风险的产品或技术一样”
““Weak makes right” is potentially a more dangerous philosophy than “might makes right”. Right makes right.” ↗
“‘弱者即公理’可能是比‘强权即公理’更危险的哲学。公理就是公理。”
“The best definition of ntelligence is simply the ability to predict the future imo.” ↗
“在我看来，智能最好的定义就是预测未来的能力。”
“Stupidity in the limit is indistinguishable from malice” ↗
“愚蠢到了极限，就和恶意无法区分”
“The real economy is not money, it is goods & services. Money is simply an abstract representation of real things.” ↗
“真正的经济不是钱，而是商品和服务。钱只是真实事物的一种抽象表示。”
“All you need to know to understand which company will win a technology competition is look at the first and second derivatives of the rate of innovation” ↗
“想知道哪家公司会赢得一场技术竞赛，你只需要看创新速度的一阶导数和二阶导数”
“The most out-of-the-box thinking is realizing you’re trapped in a box created by others. Only then can you escape the box to another box. Repeat.” ↗
“最跳出框框的思维，是意识到你被困在别人造的框框里。只有这样，你才能逃出这个框框，进入另一个框框。如此反复。”
“No thinking person will agree with another person about all things. It would require 100% axiomatic consistency and reasoning conclusion probability.” ↗
“没有一个会思考的人会在所有事情上都同意另一个人。那需要公理 100% 一致，推理结论的概率也 100% 一致。”
“The scientist/engineer divide is artificial – what matters is working on the limiting factor” ↗
“科学家和工程师之分是人为的，重要的是去攻克限制因素”
“To those who have spent their whole life in finance, money seems real, but only goods & services are real” ↗
“对一辈子搞金融的人来说，钱似乎是真实的，但只有商品和服务才是真实的”
“If simulation theory is correct, then my theory is probably right, as boring simulations are terminated to save compute costs, which is what we do to simulations in our reality!” ↗
“如果模拟理论是对的，那我的理论大概也是对的，因为无聊的模拟会被终止，以节省算力成本，我们在自己的现实里就是这么对待模拟的！”
“Being useful at scale is the hardest thing in the world” ↗
“大规模地发挥作用，是世界上最难的事”
“This false nomenclature of “researcher” and “engineer”, which is a thinly-masked way of describing a two-tier engineering system, is being deleted from @xAI today. There are only engineers. Researcher is a relic term from academia.” ↗
“‘研究员’和‘工程师’这套虚假的称谓，不过是在稍加掩饰地描述一种两级工程体系，从今天起在 @xAI 被删除。只有工程师。研究员是学术界遗留下来的说法。”
“Engineers invent new technologies. Along the way, they may come up with new reality compression formulas, like Nikola Tesla.” ↗
“工程师发明新技术。在这个过程中，他们也许会想出新的现实压缩公式，就像尼古拉·特斯拉那样。”
“There will be universal high income (not merely basic income). Everyone will have the best medical care, food, home, transport and everything else. Sustainable abundance.” ↗
“将会有全民高收入（不只是基本收入）。每个人都将拥有最好的医疗、食物、住房、交通和其他一切。可持续的富足。”
“With rare exception, ideas really are trivial compared to execution. For example, the idea of going to the Moon is simple, but ACTUALLY going to the Moon is staggeringly difficult.” ↗
“除了极少数例外，和执行相比，想法真的无足轻重。比如，去月球这个想法很简单，但‘真正’去到月球，难得惊人。”
“It’s taken 13.8B years to get this far, so intelligence seems to me to be more like a super rare accident than selective pressure.” ↗
“走到这一步花了 138 亿年，所以在我看来，智能更像是一场极其罕见的意外，而不是选择压力的结果。”
“We didn’t “play to our core strengths”, we created core strengths from nothing.” ↗
“我们不是在‘发挥核心优势’，我们是从零创造了核心优势。”
“What people reveal when they say insane things like that is that they themselves are a taker, not a maker, so they assume others are takers too. It obviously makes no sense, as without the makers of the world, there would be nothing for the takers to take.” ↗
“人们说出那种疯话时，暴露的是他们自己是索取者，而不是创造者，所以他们以为别人也是索取者。这显然说不通，因为没有世界上的创造者，索取者就无物可取。”
“You are a taker, not a maker. All you’ve done your whole life is take from the makers of the world. The zero-sum mindset you have is at the root of so much evil. Once you realize that civilization is not zero-sum and that it is about making far more than one consumes, then it” ↗
“你是索取者，不是创造者。你这辈子做的，就是从世界上的创造者那里索取。你的零和思维，是那么多恶的根源。一旦你意识到文明不是零和的，文明在于创造远多于自己消耗的东西，那么它”
“It’s simulations all the way down, until you get to the 1 bit universe” ↗
“一层套一层全是模拟，一直到 1 比特的宇宙为止”
“There will be universal high income and childcare and I love humanity and don’t want us all to die out” ↗
“将会有全民高收入和托育服务，而且我爱人类，不想让我们全都灭绝”
“Because this variant of reality/simulation is more interesting” ↗
“因为现实／模拟的这个变体更有意思”
“AI must pass, in general, the “Galileo” test: even if almost all the training data repeats falsehoods, it must nonetheless see the truth” ↗
“总的来说，AI 必须通过‘伽利略’测试：即使几乎所有训练数据都在重复谬误，它也必须看到真相”
“This perfectly matches simulation theory. Objects in a video game are only rendered when observed and there is a minimum voxel size.” ↗
“这和模拟理论完美吻合。电子游戏里的物体只有在被观察时才会渲染，而且有一个最小的体素尺寸。”
“There are a finite number of Planck cubes, which means a limited number of digits of pi (which can be thought of in integer form) to calculate volume. And you cannot have a fraction of a quark or lepton, so … integer.” ↗
“普朗克立方体的数量是有限的，这意味着计算体积时，圆周率（可以把它看成整数形式）的位数是有限的。而且夸克或轻子不可能有零点几个，所以……整数。”
“However, within the simulation, hardware is extremely hard to do. Only those who have bled on a production line can understand.” ↗
“不过，在模拟之内，硬件是极难做的。只有在生产线上流过血的人才能懂。”
“I had dinner once with a top physicist and a top computer scientist and asked what they thought the probability was that we were in a simulation. They answered simultaneously at 0% and 100% respectively. It was like a double-slit experiment, but with humans.” ↗
“有一次我和一位顶尖物理学家、一位顶尖计算机科学家吃饭，问他们觉得我们身处模拟之中的概率有多大。他们同时回答，一个说 0%，一个说 100%。简直就像双缝实验，只不过换成了人。”
“For the same reason we run simulations: to observe interesting outcomes. That’s why the most interesting outcome, especially if ironically entertaining, is the most likely: all the boring simulations were terminated.” ↗
“和我们运行模拟的原因一样：为了观察有趣的结果。所以最有趣的结果，尤其是带点讽刺意味、又好玩的结果，可能性最大：所有无聊的模拟都被终止了。”
“AI/Robotics will mean everyone can have a penthouse if they want. The output of goods & services will be several orders of magnitude higher than today’s economy. Read the Iain Banks Culture books for the best imagining of how it will be.” ↗
“有了 AI 和机器人，每个人只要想要，都能住上顶层豪宅。商品和服务的产出将比今天的经济高出好几个数量级。要想知道那会是什么样子，读读伊恩·班克斯的《文明》系列，那是最好的想象。”
自我袒露：坦率的、自传式的、私人的（2023–2026）
这段时间里他坦率的自我披露：把自己的政治参与说成不情愿的出征；承认用氯胺酮走出“黑暗的心理深渊”；打电子游戏“让我的头脑安静下来”；PayPal 政变和蒙特利尔的自传片段；“我爱美国”；他自称的“好奇与冒险”的人生哲学；以及那些关于他儿子、毫不掩饰的帖子。
“I am on team humanity” ↗
“我站在人类这一队”
“I wish only the best for humanity and a prosperous and exciting future for all.” ↗
“我只希望人类一切都好，希望所有人都有一个繁荣而激动人心的未来。”
“My estimate of the probability of success at the beginning of both Tesla and SpaceX was less than 10%. The reason people telling me we would probably fail didn’t dissuade me was that I already agreed with them!” ↗
“特斯拉和 SpaceX 刚起步时，我估计成功的概率都不到 10%。别人告诉我我们多半会失败，却没能劝退我，原因是我本来就同意他们的看法！”
“Engineering is fun for me, whereas politics and posting on controversial issues feels like putting my hand on a hot stove – mega pain. The reason I do the latter, admittedly ineptly at times, is because I think it is necessary to counteract corrosion of civilization.” ↗
“对我来说，搞工程是乐趣，而搞政治、就争议话题发帖，感觉就像把手放在滚烫的炉子上，痛得要命。我之所以还要做后者（得承认，有时做得很笨拙），是因为我认为有必要去对抗文明的腐蚀。”
“Leaders should post directly, not hand the role to intermediaries. That is what works best. Mistakes will be made, but that’s what proves it’s real. People want authenticity.” ↗
“领导者应该亲自发帖，而不是把这件事交给中间人。这样效果最好。会犯错，但犯错恰恰证明这是真的。人们想要的是真实。”
“America’s A team is usually building companies in the private sector Once in a long time, reforming government is important enough that the A team allocates time to government. This is that time.” ↗
“美国的 A 队通常在私营部门创办公司。很久才有一次，改革政府重要到让 A 队把时间分给政府。现在就是那个时候。”
“More things on my plate now, but that’s still pretty much true. I do play video games as my one recreational activity to quiet my mind. Some days are real tough, so playing video games is my strange solace.” ↗
“现在手上的事更多了，但基本上还是这样。我确实把打电子游戏当作唯一的消遣，用来让我的头脑安静下来。有些日子真的很难熬，所以打游戏是我奇特的慰藉。”
“I have great respect for anyone who makes useful products or provides useful services to their fellow human beings” ↗
“任何为同胞制造有用产品、提供有用服务的人，我都非常尊敬”
“I love America. I loved every bit of jingoistic propaganda. I believed it hook, line and sinker. Now, let’s make it all real.” ↗
“我爱美国。每一丁点沙文主义宣传我都爱。我全盘照收，深信不疑。现在，让我们把这一切都变成现实。”
“The Tesla Optimus hand is so sophisticated that it makes a Fabergé seem simple. And it gives you a whole new appreciation for how incredible the human hand is.” ↗
“特斯拉擎天柱的手精密到让法贝热彩蛋都显得简单。它也让你重新认识到，人手是多么不可思议。”
“I am endlessly amused by the infinite indignities I suffer on the very platform that I own” ↗
“我在自己拥有的平台上受尽无穷无尽的羞辱，这让我乐此不疲”
“Every bleeding-heart liberal I talk to about the Russia-Ukraine war wants to keep feeding bodies into the meat grinder forever. They have no plan for success. Superficial empathy, not real empathy.” ↗
“我跟每一个心肠软的自由派聊俄乌战争，他们都想永远把人往绞肉机里送。他们根本没有取胜的计划。这是肤浅的共情，不是真正的共情。”
“Another case of suicidal empathy, as @GadSaad would say! The problem with suicidal empathy is that it will end civilization. Game over.” ↗
“又一个自杀式共情的案例，@GadSaad 会这么说！自杀式共情的问题在于，它会终结文明。游戏结束。”
“I have not personally committed violence, nor have I ever advocated that others engage in violence, yet the left has firebombed and shot bullets into my stores and many have advocated for my death. They are guilty of that which they accuse me.” ↗
“我本人从未实施暴力，也从未鼓吹别人使用暴力，可左派却向我的门店扔燃烧弹、开枪，还有很多人鼓吹让我去死。他们犯下的，正是他们指控我的罪。”
“They said I scored the highest for engineering aptitude that they had ever seen. Or, in other words, not bad for a human, as a future AI might say.” ↗
“他们说我的工程能力测试得分，是他们见过最高的。或者换句话说，就像未来的 AI 可能会说的：对一个人类来说还不赖。”
“to be clear, I am NOT taking drugs! The New York Times was lying their ass off. I tried prescription ketamine a few years ago and said so on 𝕏, so this not even news. It helps for getting out of dark mental holes, but haven’t taken it since then.” ↗
“说清楚，我‘没有’在嗑药！《纽约时报》简直是在睁眼说瞎话。几年前我试过‘处方’氯胺酮，还在 𝕏 上说过，所以这根本不算新闻。它有助于走出黑暗的心理深渊，但从那以后我就没再用过。”
“I wonder if Marcus Aurelius could have done more to carry Rome to greater heights or whether that was as good a job as could have been done” ↗
“我在想，马可·奥勒留当年能不能做得更多，把罗马带到更高的高度，还是说他已经做到了能做到的最好”
“We cannot understand the true nature of the Universe, unless we question deeply. I want to know what is real, even if the answer is total obliteration of my consciousness.” ↗
“除非深入追问，否则我们无法理解宇宙的真实本质。我想知道什么是真实的，哪怕答案是我的意识被彻底抹去。”
“Sometimes I say things so profound that people that it’s stupid. And sometimes I say things so stupid that people thinks it’s profound.” ↗
“有时候我说的话深刻到人们以为很蠢。有时候我说的话蠢到人们以为很深刻。”
“I hold one passport now & forever: America. I will live & die here. Or Mars (part of America).” ↗
“我现在和将来都只持一本护照：美国。我会在这里生活，也会在这里死去。或者在火星（美国的一部分）。”
“When Tolkien wrote about the hobbits, he was referring to the gentlefolk of the English shires, who don’t realize the horrors that take place far away. They were able to live their lives in peace and tranquility, but only because they were protected by the hard men of Gondor.” ↗
“托尔金写霍比特人的时候，指的是英格兰各郡那些斯文的乡绅，他们意识不到远方发生的恐怖。他们之所以能平静安宁地过日子，只是因为有刚毅的刚铎人在保护他们。”
“When I arrived in Montreal at age 17, I only had three things: $2500, one bag of clothes and one bag of books” ↗
“我 17 岁到蒙特利尔的时候，只有三样东西：2500 美元、一包衣服和一包书”
“I assume you’re referring to my son, Xavier, who has a tragic mental illness caused by the evil woke mind virus you push on vulnerable children. I love Xavier very much and hope he recovers. My daughters are Azure, Exa (she goes by Y) and Arcadia, and they do indeed love me” ↗
“我猜你指的是我的儿子泽维尔。他得了一种悲惨的精神疾病，病因就是你们推给脆弱孩子的邪恶觉醒病毒。我非常爱泽维尔，希望他能康复。我的女儿们是阿祖尔、埃克萨（她自称 Y）和阿卡迪亚，她们确实爱我”
“My parents didn’t teach me anything academic. I started first grade at age 5 unable to spell a single word. Preschool doesn’t matter.” ↗
“我父母没教过我任何学业上的东西。我 5 岁上一年级时，一个单词都不会拼。学前教育无关紧要。”
“I was CEO and Peter reported to me, so could not fire me. It was a palace coup by most (not all) of the exec team and most of the board, who were worried that my decisions were too risky. I was the largest shareholder in the company.” ↗
“我是首席执行官，彼得向我汇报，所以他开除不了我。那是一场宫廷政变，发动者是大部分（不是全部）高管团队和大部分董事会成员，他们担心我的决策风险太大。我是公司最大的股东。”
“My Tesla and SpaceX shares, which are almost all my “wealth”, only go up in value as a function of how much useful product those companies produce and service. This means my “wealth” can only increase due to producing more products and services for the public.” ↗
“我的特斯拉和 SpaceX 股份几乎就是我全部的‘财富’，它们的价值只会随着这两家公司生产多少有用的产品和服务而上涨。这意味着，我的‘财富’只能靠为公众生产更多的产品和服务来增加。”
“This is the only way to stop civilizational suicide. It is critical that we take these steps to avoid annihilation.” ↗
“这是阻止文明自杀的唯一办法。我们必须采取这些步骤，以免毁灭，这一点至关重要。”
“I hope it helps save civilization. That is the goal.” ↗
“我希望它能帮着拯救文明。这就是目标。”
“My philosophy is curiosity & adventure” ↗
“我的哲学是好奇与冒险”
“If civilization continues to grow, we will figure out the universe. If not, nothing else matters.” ↗
“如果文明继续成长，我们终将弄懂宇宙。如果不能，其他一切都无关紧要。”
“Expand consciousness to the stars to understand the universe.” ↗
“把意识扩展到群星，去理解宇宙。”
“Most people need religion of some kind” ↗
“大多数人都需要某种宗教”
“What is the best possible future? This question is much harder to answer than it may seem.” ↗
“最好的未来是什么样的？这个问题比看上去难回答得多。”
哲学与道德：共情、宽恕、宗教、意义（2023–2026）
道德哲学的视角：贯穿整个时期的深层共情与浅层（“自杀式”）共情模型、反对复仇和提倡宽恕的思考、对宗教日渐温和的态度、从宇宙尺度出发的遐想，以及他自己说出的人生意义。
“If someone only does good out of fear of divine retribution, then they are not good” ↗
“如果一个人行善只是因为害怕神的惩罚，那他就不是善的”
““May you live forever” is the worst possible curse once you understand deep time” ↗
“一旦你理解了深时，‘祝你长生不老’就是最恶毒的诅咒”
“Most people (maybe all?) are instinctively moral relativists. If you’re perceived as being in the group, you can do no wrong, whereas those outside the group can do no right. This instinct can be overridden, but requires a strong commitment to truth over convenience.” ↗
“大多数人（也许所有人？）本能上都是道德相对主义者。如果你被看作自己人，你做什么都不会错；圈子外的人则做什么都不对。这种本能是可以克服的，但需要坚定地把真相放在方便之上。”
“All that actually happens, decade after decade, is a never-ending cycle of violence and vengeance. Stoking the fires of hatred isn’t” ↗
“十年又十年，实际发生的只是一轮又一轮永无止境的暴力与复仇。煽起仇恨之火并不”
“Everyone is to some degree in a prison created by their own mind” ↗
“每个人在某种程度上都被困在自己头脑造出的牢笼里”
“The way to beat hatred is friendship” ↗
“战胜仇恨的办法是友谊”
“There seems to be an innate need that some people have to find a socially acceptable thing to hate” ↗
“有些人似乎有一种与生俱来的需要，要找一个社会上可以接受的东西去恨”
“So long as we keep it interesting, the simulators won’t delete us” ↗
“只要我们保持有趣，模拟者就不会删掉我们”
“I acquired the company fka Twitter. To stop the extinctionists.” ↗
“我收购了这家前身叫 Twitter 的公司。为了阻止灭绝主义者。”
“If civilization fails, nothing else matters” ↗
“如果文明失败了，其他一切都无关紧要”
“There will be universal high income, not basic, in a positive AI future. No scarcity, except that which we define to be scarce. In that scenario, everyone can have whatever goods & services they want. It is less clear how we will find meaning in a world where work is” ↗
“在一个积极的 AI 未来里，将会有全民高收入，而不是基本收入。不会有稀缺，除非是我们自己定义为稀缺的东西。在那种情况下，每个人都能得到想要的任何商品和服务。不太清楚的是，在一个工作已经……的世界里，我们要如何找到意义”
““An eye for an eye” is foolish and primitive, leading to an endless cycle of retribution.” ↗
“‘以眼还眼’是愚蠢而原始的，只会导致无休止的冤冤相报。”
“Never trust a cynic – they excuse their bad behavior with the rationale that “everyone does it”” ↗
“永远别相信愤世嫉俗的人，他们用‘大家都这么干’的理由为自己的恶行开脱”
“Small, unexpected delights are part of what makes life worth living.” ↗
“那些小小的、意想不到的惊喜，是让生活值得过下去的一部分。”
“Modern Western civilization has extraordinary empathy compared to its power. This is also arguably its greatest weakness.” ↗
“和它的力量相比，现代西方文明有着非同寻常的共情。可以说，这也是它最大的弱点。”
“Forgiveness is essential to end an infinite cycle of retribution. There is great wisdom in turning the other cheek, although it must be combined with the strength to enforce an end to retribution.” ↗
“要终结无穷无尽的冤冤相报，宽恕必不可少。把另一边脸也转过去，这里面有大智慧，但它必须与强制终结报复的力量结合起来。”
“Atheism left an empty space Secular religion took its place But left the people in despair Childless hedonism sans care Maybe religion’s not so bad To keep you from being sad” ↗
“无神论留下一片空白，世俗宗教取而代之，却让人们陷入绝望：无子无忧、只顾享乐。也许宗教没那么糟，能让你不再悲伤”
“If civilization falls, nothing else matters. That is why I bought this platform.” ↗
“如果文明倒下，其他一切都无关紧要。这就是我买下这个平台的原因。”
“What is life without purpose? But there is a purpose! It is to expand to the stars and thereby understand the Universe.” ↗
“没有目的的人生算什么？但目的是有的！那就是扩展到群星，并由此理解宇宙。”
“In any given conflict, there are 2 easy ways to tell which side are the good guys: 1. Who treats their prisoners of war well? 2. Who has the best sense of humor?” ↗
“在任何一场冲突中，有 2 个简单的方法判断哪一方是好人：1. 谁善待战俘？2. 谁最有幽默感？”
““Respect for the truth comes close to being the basis of all morality.” - Dune” ↗
“‘尊重真相，几乎就是一切道德的基础。’——《沙丘》”
“Buying Twitter caused me mega pain, but it had to be done to ensure humanity took the good fork in the road.” ↗
“买下 Twitter 让我痛苦万分，但这件事必须做，为的是确保人类走上那条好的岔路。”
“Only utterly rigorous pursuit of the truth can lead to understanding the universe” ↗
“只有极其严格地追求真相，才能通向对宇宙的理解”
“The empathy instinct that made Western Civilization strong is also its weakness. Suicidal empathy is like an autoimmune disease – the body attacks itself.” ↗
“让西方文明强大的共情本能，也是它的弱点。自杀式共情就像一种自身免疫病：身体攻击自己。”
“If cloak of moral invulnerability is offered, the first to take it will be the most immoral” ↗
“如果有人提供一件道德上刀枪不入的斗篷，第一个去拿的会是最不道德的人”
“Either the suicidal empathy of Western civilization ends or Western civilization will end” ↗
“要么西方文明的自杀式共情终结，要么西方文明终结”
“Beware the empathy exploit. Empathy is good and right when thought through (deep), but can be deadly to civilization when simply stimulus-response (shallow).” ↗
“警惕共情漏洞。经过深思熟虑的（深层的）共情是好的、对的，但如果只是刺激—反应式的（浅层的），对文明可能是致命的。”
关联
- 言论自由绝对主义——作为经营原则重申的平台主人学说：“审查……会反过来对准你”，“言论自由是民主的基石”，用反驳代替审查，以及最难的案例（在亚历克斯·琼斯一事上说“原则比钱更重要”）。
- 觉醒病毒——最绝对的说法（“从根本上反人类”“正在杀死西方文明”“像冬虫夏草菌”）和最私人的说法（“我的儿子泽维尔死了。他被觉醒病毒杀死了”），外加“DEI 必须死”与精英制度这条线。
- 政府效率——他亲口说出的 DOGE 时代论点：“是官僚制，不是民主制”，“政府是最大的公司……垄断着暴力”，“所有政府支出都是税收”，以及“促进改进的反馈回路坏掉了”。
- AI 生存风险——“为了理解现实”而创办 xAI、最大限度求真的安全学说（Gemini／HAL 9000／伽利略／伏尔泰）、人类作为生物引导程序和后备保障的角色，以及有日期的奇点／AGI 预言。
- 好奇心与求真——“理解宇宙是 xAI 的使命”，“只有极度恪守真相，才可能透彻理解宇宙”，“我的哲学是好奇与冒险”，以及“我想知道什么是真实的，哪怕答案是我的意识被彻底抹去”。
- 火星殖民——最宏大的使命（“延续意识之光”“我们的鸡蛋没有全放在一个篮子里”“要么走向太空，要么灭亡”）和 2026 年先登月的转向（“SpaceX 已经把重心转向在月球上建一座能自我生长的城市……使命没有变”）。
- 可持续的富足——后稀缺愿景（“全民高收入，而不是基本收入”，“AI 和机器人将取代所有工作……工作会变成可选项”）和卡尔达肖夫等级的能源世界观（“太阳是一座巨大的、免费的聚变反应堆”；“要么人类达到一型文明，要么所有已知的生命都会灭绝”）。
- 可持续能源使命——“能源是经济基础”的第一性原理、太阳能即星光，以及对气候和资源的审慎立场（“地球不会很快耗尽任何东西”）。
- 第一性原理——对智能的定义（“预测未来的能力”）、“推到极限”式的启发法（“无能……和欺诈无法区分”）、“钱只是抽象”的经济学，以及“和执行相比，想法真的无足轻重”。
- 模拟假说——重申的计算主义形而上学（“p（模拟）≈1”；“一层套一层全是模拟，一直到 1 比特的宇宙为止”；“宇宙从根本上是整数的”）。
- 人类的光明未来——最忧心忡忡的人口崩溃警报，与“自杀式共情”论融为一体，以及那种乐观：生孩子是“对未来的一种乐观之举”。
- 意识与死亡——“意识的小蜡烛”这一说法，“如果意识真的那么稀有，那我们就是最珍贵的东西”，以及从深时角度对死亡的思考。
- 人形机器人——擎天柱是“第一台冯·诺依曼机器”，以及 AI 与机器人带来的后劳动经济。
- 埃隆·马斯克——这个人物在 2023–2026 年的第一人称记录：政治转向的完成（支持特朗普、DOGE、美国党）、创办 xAI、卡尔达肖夫等级与先登月的使命演变、“自杀式共情”和人口崩溃的信念，以及他写过的最私人的帖子（氯胺酮、电子游戏、PayPal 政变、他的儿子泽维尔）。